Posts Tagged ‘blame’

Making friends with the hysterias of confusion, grief, shame, & blame

November 19, 2014

In the course of human events, people may notice preferences and even expectations. One of the most common ways to notice the presence of an expectation is when something else happens other than what was expected.

In contrast, when nothing is expected and something unfamiliar happens, there may be surprise and curiosity and, if there is much interest, learning. But when something is expected and does not happen, that can be quite different.

Instead of ignorance simply being replaced with the new stimulus or perception, when there is already an expectation, that is quite distinct from ignorance. The expectation implies that there is already interest. (If someone is not interested in something, then why form an expectation about it?)

Whenever an expectation is violated (which is inevitable), then there can be confusion. Note that confusion cannot arise without a pre-existing expectation that is erroneous. Total ignorance can lead to surprise, but not to confusion. (Surprises can be scary or fun or many other things.)

Only expectation can lead to confusion: “something is not how I expected it and I do not know why.” When there is an expectation plus an awareness of the violation of some expectation but no further clarity yet, that is called confusion. Someone may not even know which expectation has been violated.

That confusion can lead to seeking clarification and the refining of the expectations. However, that confusion can also lead in to a very distinct pathway, which we will briefly explore now.

I expect something. Something else happens. I am confused. (In other words, I notice that I was already confused about what would happen and then later I suddenly recognized my own prior confusion / erroneous expectation.)

But what next? How do I relate to my own confusion (my error / inaccuracy)? Is it okay to experience occasional confusion? Is it “to be expected?”

Is it ever overwhelming? Is it ever terrifying? Is it ever embarrassing?

Sometimes, an experience of confusion (from an unfulfilled expectation or violated expectation) may lead to embarrassment. Embarrassment is related to shame. That means that I experience fear about one or more other people’s perceptions of me and their behavioral reactions to me (such as violent attack, social shunning, or other punishments).

What next then? Do I withdraw (flee)? What if that simple response to stress is not available? How else could I promote safety?

Do I fight (to promote safety)? Do I freeze (to promote safety)? Do I fake (to promote safety)?

A common reflex for someone who is confused (and then embarrassed about it) is to cast blame. Blame can have an element of antagonism (as in a fight response to the fear / shame).

Blame is a type of complaint: “the only reason that ___ is because the weather is so unusually ______!”

That is basically a request for attention and sympathy. So is this: “the only reason that ______ is because of whoever I blame for this confusing and embarrassing development… and who I blame is ___!”

That is a totally understandable reaction. “I am so confused by the results of my actions that I am embarrassed and so in an effort to attract attention and sympathy and perhaps even assistance, I am blaming ________!”

“Other people should be more _____!”

“I should not have to ______!”

“Do you want to know what I think of that person? ______ is just such a ______!”

Now that I have presented some common patterns in language, you may notice that your behavior may have included some of these statements. (If so, then you are probably over the age of 2.) In fact, you may have noticed quite a few other people who are also over the age of 2, right?

To review, people (by the age of 2) will form expectations and then inevitably some of those get violated and so then people occasionally get confused (and perhaps ashamed about being socially witnessed as confused). That shame can lead to them casting blame.

Blame is a classic coping mechanism in the stages of grieving / learning. Blame can be a form of denial (as in a distraction from the underlying embarrassment or the underlying expectation that was not fulfilled).

Further, blame can lead to resentment, antagonigm, contempt, and lots of arguing: “I think that who is really to blame is not ____, but instead is __________. How can you even be so hysterical to suggest that _______ or that ________? You might as well be saying that _____?!?!?”

All of that is called hysteria. It is still a type of fear and a subset of shame. It is a defense mechanism in the realm of “I do not yet want to simply admit that I expected ________ and instead what actually happened was ______.”

So, how do people relate to the reality that expectations exist and can be violated? What about that confusion can arise, then embarrassment? What about that hysterical blame can arise and then hysterical defenses of the hysterical blame?

What about that sometime around the age of 2, most people develop the capacity to engage in arguments that may appear silly to outsiders? What about that some people continue those arguments for decades, even frequently triggering resentment and contempt so as to justify withdrawal from at least one person who is so unpredictable “because I refuse to update my own expectations in accord with their actual behaviors? I mean… why should I have to!?!?”

Or, maybe someone just seems too erratic for me at a particular time. Maybe my interest in them is not great enough to continue interacting with them because I am not ready to learn that fast. Maybe interacting with them is so challenging to my pre-existing expectations that I can only tolerate them in small doses. “That pesky pest is so annoying!”

If was simply bored, I would not be interested enough to argue, would I? People only argue for decades about things that interest them in some way. Further, people only argue with someone for decades if that other person interests them in some way.

How do I relate to people (such as 2 year-olds) who may on occassion experience confusion, shame, blame, and so on? Do I withdraw from them because they are manifesting a behavioral pattern that I have been repressing? Do I push them away with criticisms and condescension?

If I have been repressing shame, then wouldn’t I flee from any display of shame that scares me? Wouldn’t I flee from anything that scares me? If what scares me is the display of shame, would I flee from whatever scares me?

Further, if for someone reason I was not successful in fleeing, then wouldn’t I attempt to push away the perceived source of stress? Wouldn’t I increase my own stress hormones and go from flight mode to fight mode?

The point is that hysteria is a natural part of life. Some of them last only briefly and some can last decades or even centuries.

Hysteria is a type of fear and the sub-types of hysteria can include grief (a fear about how someone will adapt to some loss or absence) as well as shame (a fear of imagined future punishments) and blame. Blame, when expressed, can lead to compensation and apology and so on. Or blame can lead to other outcomes.

Consider the idea that “____ simply should not exist.” That may already be a form of distressed hysteria, right?

What is so frightening about the possible existence of something to someone that they should say it should not exist? What shames are they attempting to hide, if any?

“Hysteria should not exist! How can all these people still act like 2 year-olds? I mean, seriously, how come they don’t have totally accurate expectations about reality like I do? This is the most frustrating thing ever!”

“I really just don’t understand how all of these people don’t have totally accurate expectations like I do? It’s like they are just freaking out over unfulfilled expectations and that is not what I expected and it is totally freaking me out!?!?!”

“Yeah, that was totally weird, isn’t it? Hey, come jump on this bed with me!”

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From “something is wrong” to “someone is wrong” (Justice!)

September 8, 2014

Robert wrote: “[Is the US on “the right side of justice” in Ukraine?] …I’m more and more convinced that politics is a form of religion. You just get married to a particular religion, and then all the other ones suck. And then you hang onto your own version of the truth as though it gives you some sort of purity….

I know that nations go to war over resources and economic issues, but not over ideology. The Japanese attacked Pearl Harbor because the US was squeezing them on natural resources needed for their adventures in China and elsewhere. But they didn’t attack us over some abstract political idea.”

muddy glasses 2

  • J R Fibonacci Hunn It can be challenging to have a mature conversation with anyone who has strong emotional charges relating to some subject or some idea. Emotional charges are, in many cases, designed and programmed.

    People tend not to understand the origin of the word justice (or be familiar with the goddess Justitia, etc). They do not understand the basics of how the political conquests of the ancient Hebrew tribes (like the slaughter of the Midianites as reported in Numbers 31) are the direct ancestors of many aspects of modern civilization.

    For instance, many people think of western medicine as a discipline within science rather than as a religion. While science is used in western medicine, there has been immense resistance in modern medicine to uncontroversial science at least as old as the 19th century.

    However, when money and politics make a particular scientific principle (or evidence) “incorrect,” then it is marginalized. Further, when hysterical ideas like “cholesterol is dangerous” are recognized as profitable, they are massively publicized without regard for the total lack of science establishing cholesterol as a cause of health issues.

    Cholesterol is sent to repair damage. The correlation between high levels of cholesterol near tissues that are unhealthy is in no way evidence of cholesterol causing illness.

    It is like saying that the presence of firetrucks causes fires. Removing the firetrucks does not reduce the risk of new fires or the severity of old fires. Likewise, impairing the liver’s production of cholesterol is not healthy. That idea is incredible.

    However, the lobbyists for anti-cholesterol medications are not interested in science, but profits. Likewise, when the mainstream media in the US repeatedly asserts that our Nazi enemies committed genocide, but makes no mention of any genocides in Ukraine by our Soviet allies, one might wonder if they are in the business of unbiased reporting or the business of bias.

    There is no such thing as an unbiased media or an unbiased school. The idea that “bias” is somehow “to be avoided” is an indication of a particular religious belief system. The idea of “no bias” is kind of like the idea of “take a picture of your house without facing in any single direction… so you avoid having only a limited point of view in any particular photograph.”

    The reality is that we are in the midst of a religion that systematically excludes certain biases while promoting the idea that “being unbiased” is not only possible but favorable. In a way, it is a genius method of psychological warfare.

  • Robert Q. Riley JR would you mind saying that again, but a little differently? What the hell do firetrucks have to do with justice?
  • Dan Burger I like red firetrucks, I do not like yellow firetrucks. I’m pretty sure the yellow firetrucks start fires, and the red firetrucks put fires out.
  • J R Fibonacci Hunn What does justice mean? How can you measure it? What is the “right side” of it?

    Are you asserting, Robert, that it is NOT just “some abstract political slogan?” Why do Republicans and Democrats both scream for justice but [reference] two contradictory [outcomes with] the same word?

    1 hr · Edited · Like

    • J R Fibonacci Hunn Justice has always been a word that refers to the declarations of the ruler (like the officiating warlord of a particular court). Justice is a social construct.

      When Oliver North and Caspar Weinberger and Marc Rich all break a long list of laws in the US, then justice is that there is a US criminal prosecution of them [through the Department of JUSTICE].

      However, it is still “justice” for a US president to reverse or prevent a criminal prosecution. President G.H.W. Bush and President Clinton were not “obstructing justice” when they pardoned the Iran-contra law breakers. Their legal actions were still the legal process called “justice.”

  • J R Fibonacci Hunn To me, all the confusion and interest in these kinds of debates (from a mode of antagonistic arguing) is a sign of a kind of immaturity. People begin with an “amygdala reflex” of stress hormones [that I call] a panic of upset, then say fascinating things like “something is wrong here” (a problem) and then “someone is wrong here” (the villain) and it “goes downhill rapidly from there.”
  • J R Fibonacci Hunn  Dan, a great analogy with the LDL and HDL cholesterol is that fire trucks with no water left (“low-density firetrucks / LDFs”) cause fires and “HDFs” (with lots of water) put them out.

    How can anyone who knows what a lipoprotein actually is (whether an LDL or an HDL) seriously suggest that one of those two types “causes health issues?” That just does not happen. Anyone who says that a high concentration of any kind of lipoprotein is a cause of health issues is displaying their lack of comprehension and competence. It is a hysterical hysteria, like saying fire trucks cause fires.

    FYI, there is no structural difference between LDLs and HDLs. All lipoproteins are containers that begin with a high density of nutrients (the state of being an HDL) and then as they go through the bloodstream and distribute those nutrients, they lower the density of nutrients within the lipoprotein and then can be classified as “LDLs.”

    When people ask “which form of cholesterol causes health damage: LDLs or HDLs,” that is a nonsense question. It is exactly like saying “which firetrucks start fires: those full of water or those that have already sprayed out most of their water reserves?”

    “Which form of cholesterol causes illness” is just not an intelligent (logical) question. It is a question concocted by lobbyists to sell damaging medications which interfere with the liver’s essential function of producing cholesterol (as in assembling fire trucks).

    The medications were developed. Their effects were measured. Then, someone had to figure out a way to market the medications and vilifying cholesterol was the ridiculous but successful marketing idea that, like a long list of outright deceptions, became popular.

    Teachers were given curriculum to train students to worship the devil of cholesterol. “These livers are creating compounds that are almost as dangerous as fresh breast milk!”

  • J R Fibonacci Hunn People “get married” to the idea of “something is wrong” and then look for which “someone” is to blame. They may look for US president to blame for the 1989 collapse of the Japanese inflationary boom or the 1999 collapse of the European boom. Herds of emotionally-reactive imbeciles on the floor of the NYSE [a reference to a recent comment made elsewhere by Dan B.] do not comprehend the simplicity of reality because they are “married to” a particular set of presumptions that prevent an intelligent exploration of the issues.

    Why did people like Warren Buffet lose immense amounts of money in recent years? Because they did not forecast the easily predictable shifts and make immense benefits from them. And to this day, they may still be talking about who to blame – “which someone was the someone was who wrong?”

  • J R Fibonacci Hunn What was “wrong” prior to the decline in housing prices and stock prices in the US, EU, and Japan was that those price were way too high. What was wrong prior to the spiking of global fuel prices beginning in 1999 was that those prices were way too low.
  • J R Fibonacci Hunn In my 2003 and 2004 publications forecasting those price changes, (and a continuing spike in fuel prices) what kind of conceptual foundation is totally absent? I did not begin with a religious fanaticism about any particular price level being “horrifyingly wrong.”

    Prices can simply temporarily be “at an extreme.” Trends form, then accelerate, then mature (approach reversal), then reverse.

    Who do I “blame” for the huge increase in US stock prices from 1982 to 2000/ 2007 / 2014? Investors who purchased stocks and drove up prices.

    Who do I “blame” for the decline in prices? Everyone who sold those investments, which predictably produces declines in price- sometimes sudden.

    For instance, the “evil” baby boomers in the EU, US, and Japan did some very “evil” things around 2007. They started reaching retirement age and selling their stocks and went to cash or bonds. What a shock, right?!?!

    Why did they sell their summer homes and move in to a smaller place, causing real estate prices to collapse? Because when someone reaches the age of 62 (some would say 58 1/2), then they start investing in “evil and unjust” ways (like selling stocks and buying bonds).

Expectations, grief, blame, and how to solve all of our problems

April 5, 2014

Narcissus wrote: “I always felt if we were more concerned with others than self, this would solve all of our problems.”

Derpity Twerp wrote: “What problems? Ours???

Herpity Chirp wrote:  Well problems is a relative label. As they all are it seems so… problems? What problems? There is no crying in Baseball or life is there?

Derpity Twerp wrote: I have a problem with people who do not care about me as much as I prefer that they would. I call it by a few names: idealism, grief, frustration, grievance, blame, condemnation, resentment, arrogance, and lack of adequate government programs to forcefully take from others in order to give to me, etc….

 

Herpity Chirp wrote:  Just what is it exactly you would even want from others? Resentment, arrogance, condemnation? It is all around- go and get it, I say. You seem to expect a lot from “others”, who are these others? I want names and social security numbers of the others that you are speaking of.

 

Derpity Twerp wrote: I demand the following of all humans: attention, worship, approval, validation, respect, adoration, understanding, compassion, interest in my opinions, whatever bizarre sexual favors I can imagine, tithes paid on time to me, taxes paid on time to me, extortion money “donations” paid on time to me, and of course proper use of turn signals while driving. You know who I am talking about!

I resent that they are not grateful for my arrogant condemnations of their failure to fulfill my wildest dreams. What is it with the humans these last several centuries, anyway? It’s like all they flipping do is whine! 

“Boo hoo: those other people are not meeting MY expectations!” What the Hell? Look, I really do not have time for all of THEIR expectations. What about MY expectations? What about ME!?!?!

 

 

 

Herpity Chirp wrote: Wow you sound delusional my friend have you ever thought of going to see a spiritual guru like Mooji or something because you aren’t even funny for a clown. If you are going to make up sarcastic and cynical banter please try to be at least funny ONE TIME!!!! You have not met my expectations as this completely sucks.

And of course nobody gives a shit about you dumbass. Even if they say they do, it is only in what you can do for them that they care about. Do you even pay attention at all?

 

Derpity Twerp wrote: Shut up. You are not nice. You are being rude. You are the problem. I’m telling. Mommy! Mr. Herpity Chirp called me a DUMBASS. I do not know what that means, but I am NOT one of those, right mommy?
Herpity Chirp wrote: You are such a derp. I don’t even know why I talk to you sometimes.

 

Derpity Twerp just pouted: 😦

 

Herpity Chirp wrote: You just need to grow up and become more mature. You must get married and have kids because of course that is a sign of maturity. The ultimate god-given sign of maturity of course. Even if you don’t want kids well then you are just being immature about it and should have kids anyway. What are you selfish that you don’t want a family? Or am I selfish saying that somebody who doesn’t want kids should be mature enough NOT to have them?

 

“Always, the people are responsible for wicked lawmakers, oppressors, exploiters, criminals in government, tyrants in power, thieves, liars, malefactors and murderers in the capitals of the world. You, the man in the street, the man in the factory and in the shop, the man on the farm, the man in the office, you, the man everywhere, are guilty of the creatures whose crimes against you have been so monstrous, and will be again, by your own consent — if you give it…”

— Taylor Caldwell,”The Devil’s Advocate”(1952) — pgs. 332 — 338

 

First of all, in 1952, there were no wicked governments. All governments worldwide were totally awesome until Nixon, who totally ruined a very, very good thing.

Whatever happened to the fundamental principles of this great nation, like only white men who can afford several slaves can vote in elections? For their retarded rebelliousness throughout the 19th century, I blame the Native Americans. They completely diluted the foundation of our great imperialist programs to dominate the planet through atomic weapons of mass destruction, intimidation, and deception.

“Humanity is not how it should be!” – Humanity

 

“Do not believe for an instant that the world’s conspiring elite in every nation have so much as a serious quarrel among them. They have just one object: control through tribute. Your slavery, through tribute, and mine… Behind this attack are the self-styled elite, secure in their own power and riches….”

“Captains and the Kings” (1974) – Taylor Caldwell

How idealism leads to confusion, distress, guilt, blame, and ill will

December 21, 2013

Emperor Fristchler started this conversation, by commenting on the below image:

Pretty cool right? Hail to Caesar!!!! Now spend the rest of your time and energy kissing everybody’s ass just to be next to broke anyways….great plan….ready, break! ….

let’s all create a world where wealth is God, where bread is my idol and that way we can rest peacefully and comfortably in our own delusion…wow why didn’t somebody think of this plan sooner. Only 7 billion people have but you would think more would. God bless Caesar.

Julius Caesar, Summer garden, Saint-Petersburg

Julius Caesar, Summer garden, Saint-Petersburg (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

How to create your own Personal Jesus (savior)? Which we all will anyhow… one question though: who needs saved? And from what? Your own idealism?

Let go now….surrender….jump off the cliff and trust that you don’t need no stinking idealism (movie quote: “I don’t need no stinking badges!”) or therefore a savior…just turn dough into bread and then bread into wine and then worship it the rest of your lives or live life within the smoke and mirrors.

JR replies:

Inequality is mathematically impossible. That is why we must devote our lives not to practical matters, but to saving the world from a mathematical impossibility.

Or was it equality that is mathematically impossible? Eh, I forget which.

Either way, alertness and clarity are not important. Contempt is holy.

Wealth

Wealth (Photo credit: alexjtam)

What we should do is follow the programming of the elite which is that we should focus on some idealism about wealth. “People pay too much attention to wealth!” Aha- that is an excellent idealism, so try that one.

People who use the word wealth are the problem. People who use the word idealism are the problem. People who use the words idealistic contempt are the problem.

If it was not for language, we would not have all of these problems, right? If it was not for breathing and oxygen and the solar system, then things would not be so flipping complicated and that is why I am disappointed with how frustrated you should be, so that you can be more like me!

Whatever the problem is, there clearly is one, right? Also blame cannot be the problem. Vilification is not it either. Those are unrelated to each other, to me, and to problems.

The only problem is wealth, which is evil, and the only problem is a particularly evil distribution of wealth, and a particular idealism about the evil distribution of evil wealth, and a particular contempt derived from some linguistic idealism about the very evil distribution of wealth which obviously should not be how it should not be.

So, I am sure that there is a problem and all that matters is that we make up one (not two!) and then operate in distress to save the world from it, or to prevent it, or to reverse it. Distress is the answer- not agonizing! Agonizing is in no way related to distress or confusion, so stop saying that please!

Awareness, alertness, clarity, and noticing the function of things are the only problem. In fact, a really old tradition has a written document that says so in a language that I do not personally understand, but I still KNOW what it says because this one other person who is not fluent in that language either said so very confidently.

People should not be so confused by religious rituals, legal codes, jokes, psychological warfare, delusions, or reverse psychology.
They are not designed specifically to cause confusion, so why is everyone so argumentative over “what does the word gristibular REALLY mean?”

Obviously, it is a real word, so it just means gristibular. In every language that has that word in it, it means the exact same thing. Everyone who uses it- no matter what culture or situation or context or connotation- everyone knows that gristibular is a verb that means “to argue the right way over which definition of a word is the only right one, thereby identifying who is a traitor to all things that are holy and therefore should be immediately condemned for using the wrong definition and ruining my life forever, resulting in me probably going to hell when I die and being trapped in argumentative distress and idealism and confusion and bliss and gratitude.”

People keep acting like it is a code and it could mean more than one thing, but if there is one thing that I know about codes, it is that they do not mean more than one thing. This is ridiculous and far too symbolic, plus slightly ironic, but since I do not have a sense of humor, I do not even use that word.

You know the one I mean. Don’t make me say it again!

You are just trying to cause a bunch of fake drama again, aren’t you? You are a DISTRACTER!

In conclusives, confusion is the problems, not blame. We must prevent it, save the world from it, and experience distress about how confusion is the cause of misinterpretation, naive foolishness, and lack of comprehension.

Ready… break! <CLAP>

Why do the players on the Pittsburgh Steelers football team struggle against the other team? Why don’t they all just stay on the bench and watch the game?

Plus, what if the other team loses? Won’t they feel bad? They should be guilty for scoring more points than the other team. They are selfish and competitive and it is not CHRISTIAN to be so much like how they should not be.

They are too idealistic. THAT is their problem!

Wealth in America

Wealth in America (Photo credit: uvw916a)

That is why there are too many players on the field. There should not be 11 or 22. There should be zero. Everyone should have equality, which means that there should be no one on the field, no one watching, and no one doing anything interesting because that is being a DISTRACTER and an AMUSER and an ENTERTAINMENTAL.

Avoid that. Or else you will go to hell in a retard helmet. That is far worse than in a handbasket.

 

Economic distress: cause for blame or for adaption?

December 2, 2013

Regarding: http://www.businessinsider.com/rich-people-create-jobs-2013-11

Roads and freeways in metropolitan Phoenix

Roads and freeways in metropolitan Phoenix (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

The author‘s point about “consumer spending” contributing to the job market is quite valid. However, what is the real point? Is the article about promoting practical clarity (that would be useful in guiding an individual’s choices) or just promoting a change in regard to political idealism?

If the best possible result of reading the article is a new opinion about “here is what OTHER PEOPLE should do,” then what value is that to me NOW? The closing comment is a political idealism that “what we need is to understand that we are in this together.” I understand all of the points that the authored references, but I have a different conclusion:

“What makes a difference for me is when I am being responsible. When I am being responsible and lots of other folks are so jealous of me that they also start being responsible, that may be what WE really NEED.”

the dominoil effect

As a reminder, a decade ago, I forecast the decline of the economy worldwide, and especially in the US and Europe (with publications starting in 2003). In 2004, I specified the issue of a pending rise in fuel prices (and explained why I forecast such a huge rise and exactly what the diverting of funds to pay for fuel would mean for real estate markets and stock markets- below is the last few years of the US stock market index for the “housing sector”).

hgx

A few years after my initial publications, when fuel prices hit $11 per gallon in parts of Europe, prior economic trends quickly destabilized. What has happened since then is precisely the sequence that I called “The DominOil Effect” in 2004. 

first use of the phrase "the dominoil effect" in my 2004 publication "the real U.S. deficit: OIL!"

The recent cries of “relief” that gas prices are back down below $3 are absolutely “on schedule.” People are simply reacting. They have no comprehension of the issues or of the “predictable and almost certain future,” which might be so terrifying to some of them that they distract themselves with arguments about which form of political idealism is the least idealistic….

San Francisco, California

San Francisco, California (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

So, I back up further now to explore “what creates jobs/earnings/revenues.” To answer “the economy,” like the other author did, is absolutely worthless. Let’s explore a bit further.

Demand for services (and goods) plus an available labor force “creates” specialization (like learning the skills of plumbing or video editing or building cabinets, etc). What “the economy” values (after being influenced through commercial advertisements, government mandates, and so forth) gets supported with funding. People who are most “in tune” with that demand can make the largest rewards.

For instance, in the 1850s in San Francisco, thousands of poor men flooded the area prospecting for gold. A few became rich from the gold they found. Most did not. The group that had the biggest profits with very low risk were *suppliers* who sold equipment to the men who came for the gold rush. Also, because there were so few women in the area, women who worked as waitresses, strippers, and so on were able to earn money that was far beyond what was available for similar “services” at the peak of the famous Las Vegas “sin economy” of the 20th century.

English: Flag of San Francisco Español: Bander...

English: Flag of San Francisco Español: Bandera de San Francisco (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

If the author wanted to offer a serious commentary on tax regulations, I deem him “way off target” so far. People like me who forecast the economic decline of recent years (and near future) have demonstrated competence and clarity. However, how many of our articles that promote “personal responsibility through personal adaptiveness” have you seen shared on your facebook thread lately?

We forecast the economic shift as well as forecasting the political reactions attempted rather consistently in the US, EU, and Japan – we forecast the economic change, the public reactions and political reactions to the same sequence of FUEL-PRICE DRIVEN changes. We also noted which government responses (which tax regulations) would be most de-stabilizing or most reliable for promoting economic health.

English: San Francisco Peaks seen from U.S. Ro...

English: San Francisco Peaks seen from U.S. Route 89, Arizona, USA Français : San Francisco Peaks vus de la U.S. Route 89, Arizona, États-Unis (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Further, while politicians in the State of Arizona argue over budget cuts, the State of Alaska has had record profits from taxes collected from the sale of oil at over $100 a barrel – even over $140 a few years ago.  That state can afford to give out thousands of dollars per year to every single resident as a “dividend” simply to attract them to stay in Alaska. Why? Because the state of Alaska is eager to keep people there where the population can work to keep all of that oil flowing to the rest of the US.

The lack of maturity (and lack of responsibility) in how most people relate to financial change is something that radically effects what behaviors are practiced and what results are produced. Those who have demonstrated clarity, competence, maturity, and so on may get increasing attention from a select group of motivated individuals. What will motivate them? In many cases, fear is what will motivate people to consider that some of their presumptions may be inaccurate and even “expensive.”

The waves of fear seen in 2007-8 in the US and EU were just hints of what is to come. Let those who have the courage to be responsible and lead give up conversations for who to blame and “what other people should do.”

Maturity: results vs sincerity, hope, regret, & blame

August 30, 2013
Attention ne pas couper le courant électrique

Attention ne pas couper le courant électrique (Photo credit: zigazou76)

 

If you value results, then sincerity and hope are just minor factors. Sincere hope that some method will work is not an access to reliable results.

 

 

Intergrity. Sincerity.

Intergrity. Sincerity. (Photo credit: Renato Ganoza)

 

 

It takes maturity to accept responsibility for producing results. People who present their sincerity as an important historical detail may be quite immature. They want approval and validation, not responsibility.

It is wise to target delegating responsibility to those who are focused on actual results.  You can ask yourself: who wants results and who just wants attention (which they may attempt to distract with dramatic breakdowns and tantrums about who is to blame or what is their very interesting excuse)?

 

 

Mere good intentions are not enough and do not replace research, planning, skill, and dedication. Excitement and passion is not enough either. Nervous excitement or arrogant “confidence” are not signs of reliability.

 

 

Can you qualify for the Green Berets?

Can you qualify for the Green Berets? (Photo credit: U.S. Army Korea (Historical Image Archive))

 

 

Maturity also involves being open to experiencing disappointment about results without justification or blame. No one is ever the victim of the choices they made and the methods they used. Results are the sole basis of assessing the value of the methods and procedures that were used.

 

 

How fast will someone dedicated to results discard a method that is clearly not working? How long will they take to get frustrated enough to be open to a new approach?

 

 

If you value results, then sincerity and hope are just minor factors. If you value being congratulated for your amazing sincerity, then the actual results that you produce are just minor factors.

Imagine a parent complaining that their children just do not appreciate them enough- or that their teenagers should value them more. Imagine a grandparent whining that their infant grandchild does not give them enough attention.

 

 

An infant

An infant (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

 

 

 

If you ever get frustrated that people are not congratulating you “enough” for your sincerity, then it may be time to focus on results. If it is time to focus on results, then it may be time to focus on what results to measure and when, plus how to track which results come from which methods. Willingness to revise or discard methods is maturity.

 

 

 

 

Where do you invest your time and energy? There is no “wrong answer” to that question. However, the accurate answer will reveal what you have been valuing.

 

 

Are you willing to face the precise details of how you have been investing your time? Have any issues or topics been “dominating your thoughts?” That is where your energy (emotion) has been invested.

 

 

Just how committed to results would you like to be? Right now, are you more committed to the future than to defending the past (or avoiding it)?

 

 

Miley Cyrus

Miley Cyrus (Photo credit: rwoan)

 

 

There is a constant publicizing of scandals and trivia and controversy. Have you been obsessed with learning the latest detail or on spreading the word heroically about the “big” issue?

 

 

You’ve probably obsessed over at least a few things at some point in your life. Some people’s job is to create sensationalized magnets for your attention. Many issues may be

Can't Be Tamed

Can’t Be Tamed (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

worthy of SOME of your attention, but how much?

 

 

 

 

Painful Maturity

Painful Maturity (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

 

 

They will promote to you pre-packaged hopes and blames and values. So what?

 

 

The biggest barrier to focusing on results may be regret. Investing in regret tends to lead to exhaustion, blame, resentment, resignation, and cynicism.

 

 

Being disappointed is much more functional than nursing regret. Welcome disappointment. Even welcome fear. Allow yourself to be vulnerable to reality- to partner with it rather than be dismissively terrified of it (AKA arrogance). This is how to learn from the past.

 

 

For sincere people, the past is what justifies the alleged heroism of their most dramatic regrets. For mature people, the past is a series of results that can be lessons for which we are grateful. Maturity may seem a bit more boring, but if you are actually interested in results, maturity is valued over familiarity.

What could be more boring than focusing on what is already familiar to you? What could be more interesting than learning about what you actually value?

 

 

If you value results, then sincerity and hope are just minor factors. If you value being applauded for your latest new hope, then the actual results that you produce may be just minor factors.

 

Grief, grievances, and the courage to forgive

August 9, 2013

 

English: Robert Plutchik's Wheel of Emotions

English: Robert Plutchik’s Wheel of Emotions (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

 

English: A disappointed person

English: A disappointed person (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

 

 

Life can be considered a series of perceptions and responses. For instance, when I experience a sudden decline in my interest to continue doing something, I can call that disappointment. That can lead me to discontinue or pause old patterns of behavior. That disappointment may lead to an openness to exploring new behaviors. IN short, disappointment is the process of a shift toward the conserving of energy (such as toward rest and introspection).

 

 

 

One possible “response” to the experience of disappointment is the intentional refining of perceptiveness. I may be so disappointed that I get very curious and suddenly begin to invest my attention in verifying the accuracy of my perceptions and even in refining the precision of my perceptions.

 

 

 

Contrasting with disappointment is excitement. Recall that disappointment is simply the process of a shift toward the conserving of energy (such as toward rest and introspection). Excitement is the opposite: the arousing of stored energy to be available for investing in to a pattern of action that is already familiar. When some specific action is perceived as a possible source of new favorable experiences, there is an excitement that brings conserved energy to a ready alertness to for increased activity.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Next, a notable mixture of disappointment and excitement is fear. Sadness is mere disappointment, but when combined with a perception of a threat, then reserve energy is aroused for heightened alertness and such responses as fighting, fleeing, freezing, and faking (which can all be methods for avoiding a perceived threat). 

 

 

 

Further, the specific form of fear called “fighting” is generally known as anger. That includes physical fighting as well as verbal aggression such as yelling, shaming, punitive lawsuits, and other efforts to respond to a perceived threat by returning an even greater threat (terrifying the target, frightening them, shaming them, punishing them).

 

 

 

So, disappointment mixed with excitement (such as the excitement of an intense embarrassment over a public disappointment) can lead to other responses. These may include the terror of a jealous rage, or of tenacious character assassination, or the safer distance of gossiping about how one’s own identifying as a victim allegedly justifies a lasting contempt and resentment and obsession about the one(s) vilified (those identified as villainous). The source of the grievance is always grief (disappointment).

 

 

 

English: Disappointment after funeral

English: Disappointment after funeral (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

 

 

 

In many ancient spiritual traditions, there are numerous warnings that vilification is a normal response that people can expect to experience. Persecuting perceived heretics for exploring spirituality is the natural reflex of those who perceive a particular exploration of spirituality to be a threat to what is familiar to them.

 

 

 

Perhaps the most terrifying of all spiritual teachings is the teaching about the power of forgiveness. Forgiveness is when someone simply recognizes the validity of the terrified reflexes of disappointment, of a frightened excitement about that disappointment, then of a terrified raging of jealousy and contempt and ill will so on.

 

 

 

Rather than return ill will, one who is not experiencing the perception of an immediate threat can simply recognize the natural human responses of rage (which is a form of excited terror, which is a form of disappointment). By focusing on the root of disappointment (and with empathy for the experience of disappointment leading to terror and rage), it is simple to recognize the attempt to present a threat, then just forgive it.

 

 

 

 

As We Forgive

As We Forgive (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

 

 

 

Forgiving the threat does not necessarily mean ignoring it, but there is no automatic need to vilify the threat, nor to retreat. Rather than respond in confusion at “how could anyone ever experience a perceived threat and respond with such intense upset,” one can accept what is present without condemnation.

 

 

Harassment is simply noticed as harassment. It can be responded to in a variety of ways: a lawsuit, a warning, or even simply an apology.

 

 

I understand that it can be frightening to face the possibility that one’s prior perceptions were imprecise or even totally inaccurate. It can be frightening to face the simplicity of the grief without an addictive dis-association through vilification (through the identifying of one’s self as the pity-deserving victim and of some other as the one who was solely responsible for the disappointing results).

 

 

It can be frightening to accept that blame is simply one of many possible behaviors. If blame produces disappointing results, there are really only two logical alternatives: stop displacing responsibility through habitual blaming or… continue the habitual blaming in the hope for new results to the same old behaviors, to one’s own investments of energy.

 

 

 

Once there was an athlete who was not hired back by the team that recruited the athlete for a single season. The player was then called a “Free Agent.” Soon, the old team issued warnings to any other teams that showed interest in that player. Why?

 

 

Could it be that there was some concern that maybe the player would perform well with some other team? Could it be that the old team was more concerned about the imagined embarrassment of their former team-mate performing well than about developing their own skills or recruiting new talent? Could it be that creating a grievance is a method of coping with grief (or even with a sense of guilt)?

 

 

David Gray Please Forgive Me US promo single

David Gray Please Forgive Me US promo single (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

 

 

If there is anything even more frightening than forgiveness, perhaps it is grief. In contrast, anger and rage and contempt and ill will are things that people will go out of their way to cultivate, like seeking out people who agree with their justifications for their terrified raging argumentativeness and madness and animosity. For more doses of terror, even horror movies offer people the cultivation of fear, which may also be valuable as a way to avoid grief (like rage).

 

 

However, sad movies (“tragedies” and “dramas”) may be perceived as very dangerous threats. Not only can they produce tears, but forgiveness, gratitude, and even laughter. That kind of vulnerability may be perceived to be a major threat, especially in public.

 

 

 

So, what ever happened with the free agent and the old team-mates? There was drama. There was disappointment. There was forgiveness. There was peace of mind.

 

 

Most people agree that the movie was not as good as the book. The movie version was clearly a creative work in regard to how to put the book on to a screen, but whatever criticisms we may have of the movie, it did bring new fame to the book, leading to rumors of the writing of a sequel.

 

 

Some critics of the movie said that if a sequel would ever be made, it was sure to be a disappointment. Isn’t it interesting how sometimes some people focus so much on the possibility of disappointment?

 

 

They may obsessively condemn the past as a disappointment, then blame a villain for victimizing them. It is almost like they are slowly approaching the possibility of no longer practicing a terrified rage of vilifying their own past, and instead just grieving over having ever had some hopes that were not fulfilled (at least not yet).

 

 

Is it ever threatening to experience a new hope? What would be terrified of hope? Is victimhood the most heroic way to champion happiness?

 

 

Don't Want to Forgive Me Now

Don’t Want to Forgive Me Now (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

 

 

Once, I was not happy but disappointed. Can you even relate to that at all? Could you ever forgive someone for being disappointed, for being scared, or for being angry?

Well, what else is there to forgive people of?!?! Being happy? Being grateful? Being mature?

 

 

Forgive people of practicing resentment. Forgive people of displacing grief. Forgive people of jealousy. Forgive people of obsessing over the past. Forgive people of perceiving threats. Forgive people of “growing up” and then forgiving you long before you forgave them. Forgive them, yes, of being happy, being grateful, being playful, being hopeful, being

 

a former team-mate or a free agent.

 

 

Forgive them of experiencing all of the things that ever disappointed you. Forgive them of ever experiencing disappointment, grief, or grievances. Forgive them of being present for a part of your life that you might prefer to avoid accepting for a bit longer (as too disappointing, too terrifying, or too enraging). Forgive them of perceiving a future champion in the one whom you perceive as (and label as and relate to as) an eternal victim: yourself.

 

 

 

Once upon a time there was a champion who had never been disappointed. No, just kidding.

 

 

The experience after rage, after terror (after the perceiving of a major threat), and after disappointment is… courage. There simply is no courage without grief. There simply is no champion without disappointment.

 

 

 

 

 

The Imperialists: their values, methods, and attractive results

August 3, 2013

The Imperialists    

Imperialism

Imperialism (Photo credit: Digital Game Museum)

 
Their results: 
giant, steady increases in prosperity
Their values:
1) prosperity over popularity
2) responsibility over blame
(results over excuses) &
3) realities over ideals
Their methods:
1) not just reliable investment methods that produce far above average gains through above average analysis like “only buy select groups of investments in the midst of accelerating rallies, then monitor the price trends and leading indicators to conservatively re-diversify by taking profits as soon as momentum slows” (AKA “market timing“), but further…
 
2) to disproportionately increase their profits, protect their interests, and reduce their costs (such as tax payments), they also hire lawyers, accountants, and other specialists (such as lobbyists and PR consultants).
A Soviet poster showing the 'Prompartiya' unma...

A Soviet poster showing the ‘Prompartiya’ unmasked as spies and wreckers led by Western imperialists. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

3) They may even systematically influence the values, perceptions and behaviors of the masses by hiring and training media sensationalists, political spokespeople, and public school teachers– all of whom program the masses to value whatever the imperialists benefit from the masses valuing, such as valuing popularity (conformity) over profitability, ideals over reality, and contemptuous protests over responsibility.
(Since there is an inevitable gap between the various ideals of what should be and the realities of what actually is, imperialists like for it to be very popular among the masses for them to divide themselves in to two or more groups who sincerely and passionately blame each other for reality being so consistently different from their ideals and presumptions and myths. The anti-imperialists may feel so much guilt and terror that they blame others for any below average results produced by their own actions… rather than considering what new actions could be more adaptive and beneficial and valuable).

 

 

 

 

 

Click here <link is not live> to learn how you can get the far above average results of the imperialists, too.

 

 

 

Or, instead, click here <link is not live> to learn why you should jealously blame the imperialists for your own hysterical inflexibility (plus, why your sincerity about your good intentions should be accepted by everyone as valid justification of any disappointing results that you may seem committed to keep producing, which justifies your resentment for all of those horrible and naive people who “just do not understand” how heroic your victimized martyrdom is).

 

 

presumptions, expectations, blame, and… government currencies?

April 18, 2013

As we live, we naturally notice patterns and form presumptions, which we then make in to expectations. That is normal and functional

 

 

Lincoln memorial cent, with the S mintmark of ...

Lincoln memorial cent, with the S mintmark of the San Francisco mint. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

 

 

 

However, we then may experience a gap between our old expectations and our new experiences. We may even get so startled that we suddenly withdraw or abruptly push people away with blame and rage so that we have time to adjust to new experiences. We may crave what is familiar.  We may be so challenged by new experiences that we cling to particular expectations with such terror that we do not call them expectations, but “what should be.” 

 

 

 

The more terrified we are, then the more we feel threatened by any lack of enthusiastic agreement about our presumptive expectations. So, the more harshly we may push others away, perhaps blaming them for the gap between our presumptuous expectations and our actual experience. Notice the immense difference between “my expectations did not match the results” and “you VIOLATED my expectations and BETRAYED me!”

 

 

 

I call that latter experience the spirit of antagonism or hostility. As a method of promoting solitude and privacy by pushing people away, it is normal and functional… sometimes. 

 

 

 

Presidential Debate

Presidential Debate (Photo credit: NatalieMaynor)

 

 

 

However, it is also normal and functional for social networks to form in which there is a deliberate plan to discourage antagonism in general and behaviors of aggression in particular. These networks use premeditated aggression to regulate or govern outbursts of passionate aggression and antagonism. 

 

 

 

We call these groups “governments.” They are systems of organized coercion or organized violence, as distinct from less organized forms of aggression.

 

Naturally, various forms of government can conflict with each other, such as two nations conflicting or the federal and state governments conflicting (which can escalate in to a civil war), or when two gangs of young aggressors conflict over which group can have a recognized monopoly on the sale of marijuana on a particular street (like will it be only people licensed by the state government thugs or only people who have been inducted in to a particular paramilitary “citizen action gang network” or what)?

 

 

 

The Seat of Government

The Seat of Government (Photo credit: Ewan-M)

 

 

 

If governments regulate schools for children (or even directly fund them and operate them), then it is normal and functional for a particular dominant network of organized coercion to promote loyalty and compliance among the students trained through the programming methods that promote that government’s doctrines. Every nation has history classes that promote a particular ideology or mythology about why that  system is so deserving of loyalty and compliance. There are enemies and victims and of course heroes. 

 

 

 

There are special holy days to celebrate things like the anniversary of the founding of the governing system, holy days commemorating the birth and death of particular saints (like Washington or Lincoln or Martin Luther King, Jr.), as well as holy days for glorifying military veterans or for special rituals of flag worship (“flag day”). The students are trained to honor each of the holy days of the ruling system for the particular significance of that holy day to the overall ideology or conceptual model promoted through the system.

 

 

International Currency Money for Forex Trading

International Currency Money for Forex Trading (Photo credit: epSos.de)

 

 

Presumptions and expectations are not only promoted, but students are even tested for their ability to quickly parrot back ideological doctrines. The young human resources are trained in citizenship as well as particular disciplines that benefit the social network, such as warfare, manufacturing, and services that mitigate symptoms of a functioning immune system and other natural physiological complications of modern diets (AKA “health care services”).

 

 

 

Also, there is the very important ritual proceedings of courts of criminal and civil law. Those rituals are the most holy and sacred activities of any within each system of  organized coercion.

 

 

The court rituals dictate what currency will be accepted in the payment of invented tax debts due to the ruling operation of organized coercion. These money units or currency units are even more holy than the flag. While the money and credit may be distributed in coin, in paper, or in electronic accounts (like debit cards and credit cards and credit reports), the actual form of the system’s currency is not important (except to those for whom the currency is the most holy object in existence).

 

 

 

When ruling systems of organized coercion had monopolies on the access to gold mines, then gold coins were a convenient substance for controlling supply and then artificially ballooning demand by dictating that people pay the court officials in gold coin for their invented tax extortion liabilities. However, if a governing system had a monopoly on compressed carbon in the form of diamonds, that physical substance would be just as legitimate a candidate for use as a sacred object to be used with tight controls on supply and extensive “marketing” systems to produce artificial demand for the substance merely as a holy currency (not for some other practical or industrial purpose). 

 

 

 

What is the basis of such objects being used as holy currencies? The organized coercion of the ruling system is the basis of all artificial demand created by inventing tax extortion liabilities and then dictating an exclusive form of payment for those debt claims.

 

 

Flag of Peru

Flag of Peru (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

 

 

So, the system may train us to repress recognition of the above obvious historical details. We are terrified in to repressing antagonism by the system, and then we typically react with intense antagonism toward the system when we begin to realize the nature of the system. 

 

 

That reactive terrified antagonism is entirely normal, but is it functional? The system provides food, shelter, electricity, and all forms of modern technology such as the internet and radio and transportation networks, including traffic signals.

 

 

For which of the conveniences and amenities and privileges that the system presents to us should we blame it and curse it? For which violated expectation should we claim that it has betrayed us? For which gap between our indoctrinated presumptions and our actual perceptions should we be most frightened, most ashamed, most anti-social?

 

 

How rare it is that people within modern systems fully consider the implications of the ancient instruction “condemn not!” Well, look at all the people who condemn others for such things as… practicing “inappropriate” condemnation. What could be more hypocritical?

 

 

 

 

“Who should I blame next for the results of my actions?” – The Devil

April 5, 2013

JR: wow- some investments that were $3 the other day (earlier this week) and then yesterday ranged from $7 to $11… are $35 right now. BUT, I sold them yesterday at $10. Oh well, I take a conservative gain sometimes and miss an even bigger one.

SB: Holy smokes! And of course you are so zen about it. I guess you are the perfect person to be playing the market.

JR:

  • Trading (at least short-term trading) is a rather simple activity in terms of emotions. There is curiosity, excitement, fear, disappointment, and gratitude. All of those will come up. Short-term traders are speculating and they know it.

    It is the people who do not know that they are speculating that end up blaming a US President for their foreclosure (or glorifying a President for their 401k gains). Those folks are gambling and seem not to know it, so they do very little research and are very shocked when they suddenly learn that their $200,000 investment of borrowed money is an extremely high-risk speculation. Naturally, realtors and mortgage brokers tend not to emphasize the immense risk of foreclosure and bankruptcy that goes with gambling hundreds of thousands of dollars of borrowed money.

    Official photographic portrait of US President...

    Official photographic portrait of US President Barack Obama (born 4 August 1961; assumed office 20 January 2009) (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

  • So, unlike with credit cards where people understand that they are promising to pay back the borrowed money, real estate speculators tend to presume that the real estate itself will cover the debt (which is quite ridiculous really- like think about buying a car on borrowed money and then expecting the car NOT to depreciate- how crazy is that- of course assets tend to depreciate as new construction methods make old buildings… seem just plain “old-fashioned” – and of course there will be significant upkeep expenses, especially on real estate!).
  • But besides all of those facts which even a person investing cash in real estate will recognize, keep in mind that a $200,000 mortgage will typically cost more than $300,000 to pay back. Unless there is a huge appreciation in the resale value of the real estate (which most speculators simply assume will happen across 15 or 20 years), borrowing may be much more expensive than renting, like in the case of people who bought real estate in Japan in 1989 at the peak of the boom. 24 years later, the real estate market is still way down. Most excited speculators simply do not research the reality of markets because they are so excited (greedy?).
  • Consider that if you had $200,000 cash, you might be quite skeptical to spend it all on real estate (rather than diversify across a few investments). However, if you did not have hardly any cash, but could get a $200,000 loan, you might be much less skeptical about spending $200,00 of borrowed money. However, that is the “logic” of a hysterical mania. People “should” be more conservative with borrowed money. In fact, during speculative manias, people tend to be so excited that they think of gambling with borrowed money as safer than their own money. Why? Because if someone will lend them so much money to purchase real estate, people presume that indicates that real estate is safer than stocks or lottery tickets or whatever. However, look at Japan’s last few decades! (picture shown includes 1989-2011)
  • japan nikkei stock index
  • So, if I lend you money to invest in stocks or lottery tickets or real estate, that does nothing to change the inherit risk of those markets. However, if huge groups of people all lend money to people to invest in a particular market (like real estate), that tends to dramatically inflate prices in that market, making it extremely expensive for renters and so on. In 2003, when I started writing about the coming real estate collapse (which began in the US a few years later, but is far from over), I was already clear about basic principles like I have just mentioned here. Further, even though there has been a dramatic decline (over 50% in real estate prices here in most of Arizona), most people are still quite illiterate when it comes to the risk involved in speculating on a market like real estate which is inflated by huge amounts of lending and can quickly and sharply deflate, just like happened in Japan in the 90s and last decade, or in the US in the 1930s.
  • As another analogy, does it change the long-term resale value of car to buy it in cash or buy it on borrowed money? Not at all, right? However, many people act more confident simply because they are speculating with borrowed money rather than cash when it comes to real estate. In fact, they are typically acting only on excitement, not as disciplined speculators. So, when their high-risk choices are exposed as high-risk choices, they tend to react with denial and blame and so on. That is kind of like eating a horrible diet and then complaining that diabetes and infertility and so on are arising.
  • Does it change the biochemical results if the food is provided for free, bought with cash, or bought with borrowed money that still needs to be repaid? Not at all, right?

    If people want good health, it can be important to research the results of various diets. Those who blindly rely on the FDA get the natural results of their blind reliance.

    English: Logo of the .

    English: Logo of the . (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

    If people want wealth and security, it can be important to research the actual results of various investment strategies. Most people do not really have any strategy at all. They are just following the herd.

    When everyone else does well, so will the herd followers. When everyone else is facing bankruptcy, so will the herd followers. When everyone else is complaining about how Obama is to blame for high gas prices, so will they.

    However, high gas prices in the US tend to correspond to high prices elsewhere (Europe, Japan, etc). Also, gasoline prices may $4 in California while they are $3 in South Carolina. Is Obama also to blame for that?

    Now, to continue the analogy, let’s say that people want a politician to change things to lower gas prices and raise housing prices (like because they are already $50,000 upside down in a home that they cannot afford to sell). They are in an extreme of desperation.

  • To me, that is kind of like eating a crappy diet, getting sick, and then wanting to keep eating the same diet and having the President change biochemistry so that the same diet will produce different results. That is deluded, hysterical, and… very common in regard to how people think about investments.
  • Their strategy is follow the herd blindly, then complain about a politician when things do not go well for them. That is the same strategy as blindly following the advice of doctors who claim not to understand cancer well enough to cure it. If they do not understand basic physiology and say so openly, then what credibility do they have to give advice? Why exactly should I do the thing that I know will cause all of my hair to fall out? Why shouldn’t I research long-established methods for not only preventing but remedying cancer? Well, one factor is that special interest groups like the FDA have taken extensive measures to censor such information while investing huge amounts of money in to indoctrination programs about how cancer is allegedly incurable.
  • But not all of the information is censored or targeted for prosecution. Anthropological research that clearly shows what cultures (and what diets) produce zero incidence of cancer have been around for at least 80 years. But many modern people operate in a state of ongoing low-level panic. When a holy doctor from the royal priesthood of the FDA says that cancer is incurable, people just accept that without question typically. They think that something is a scientific fact just because the FDA said so!

  • (John Hopkins University recently admitted that it had been wrong for the last few decades about something, and many people seem to believe that because they admitted being wrong, now they suddenly have more credibility when they publish something. Well, consider that they never did have much credibility and still do not! Results establish credibility. If you want a cancer cure, go to where there is either no incidence of cancer among large groups of people and copy their behaviors or else go to where there are long lists of people who have had totally recoveries from cancer and copy their behaviors. That is only logical. Or, keep paying attention to what the jokers at John Hopkins University are saying today that they will be retracting in a decade.)
    So, when a diagnosis of cancer is made, most people just react with terror. They do not think “why should I accept what this person who claims ignorance about how to cure cancer is saying?” (Actually,  recently more and more people do think with a healthy skepticism about the religious fanaticism of the superstitious worshipers of “incurability.”)

    Notice that most people do not think “why are cancer rates rocketing across recent decades?” They do not look for books from the 1930s on why cancer was so rare for most of human history, right? Further, if people came knocking on their front and offered them such books for free, would they even read them in that case? Many might not. Many may not think of personal responsibility as a priority.

  • Likewise, when economies shift, do masses of people chase down those who explicitly predicted the shifts? No, they keep tuning in to the same mass media outlets who failed to give advance warning. Why? Maybe these mass media outlets (programming) which are by now established to have no credibility or competence will suddenly have competence and credibility.

  • Again, it is a low-level panic that then resolves in to terror and desperation with herds of people clinging to the familiar. That is why the opportunity for the few who are alert is immense. The masses are still relying on TV shows for instructions on investing, relying on Obama to secure your retirement through social security, and so on.

Panic attack

Panic attack (Photo credit: Wikipedia)


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