the business of trends, part 2 (20% gains in under 2 months)

tmf

This is one of the 8 trades that I have done since early July for a new investment client. (You can review this publication from a few days after I began trading for him: the business of trends: 6% gains in 4 days.)

The total profit is already over 20% (which, at that rate, would compound to over 200% per year). All of the trades have been profitable. The longest one so far has lasted 3 days, though most of the trades were opened and closed on the same day.

I will continue to post updates occasionally. Because the trades are very short-term and with very favorable ratios of profit potential to risk potential, the percentage of trades closed for a profit should remain extremely high while any losses would be very small, unlike with the majority of investment methods.

Also, below are two forecasts that I published on Aug. 8th, along with charts of actual events and an updated comment on US Stocks.

NDX NASDAQ 100

investment market update

“US stocks: …Now expecting rebound to new highs (barely) before long-term decline, so watching for signs of rebound to enter new positions….”
AUG 26: NOTE THAT MOST US STOCKS HAVE NOT MADE A NEW HIGH SINCE AUGUST 8TH AND THE ONLY MAJOR US INDEX TO MAKE A NEW HIGH HAS BEEN THE NASDAQ 100 (shown above), WHICH FELL HARD TODAY AFTER APPROACHING ANOTHER NEW HIGH. IF A SHARP DECLINE CONTINUES TOMORROW (AND US STOCKS HAVE CONTINUED DOWN OVERNIGHT SO FAR), THEN I WILL WATCH FOR SIGNS THAT THE “LONG-TERM DECLINE” THAT I ANTICIPATE IS ALREADY UNDERWAY.
IN MUCH OF EUROPE, STOCKS (http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/SX5E:IND)  MADE NEW HIGHS FOR THE YEAR IN MID-AUGUST, THEN FELL. IF STOCK MARKETS IN ASIA AND EUROPE ARE AS WEAK TOMORROW AS THE LAST HOUR OF TRADING IN THE U.S. WAS TODAY, THE GLOBAL STOCK SELL-OFF MAY ACCELERATE DRAMATICALLY.
“metals: silver has not fallen as much as gold. Recent sentiment low still shows potential for sharp rally.”

AUG 26: BOTH GOLD AND SILVER HAVE SHARPLY RALLIED, PRECISELY AS I REFERENCED PREVIOUSLY:

GOLD

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One Response to “the business of trends, part 2 (20% gains in under 2 months)”

  1. The business of trends part 3: 17.3% gains just in August | power of language blog: partnering with reality by JR Fibonacci Says:

    […] /27:21.75%         (when I published part 2: https://jrfibonacci.wordpress.com/2013/08/27/the-business-pf-trends-part-2-20-gains-in-under-2-months…) […]

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