change equals opportunity

Change equals opportunity

 

(2010, June 17th)

 

Virgina Satir

Virgina Satir (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

 

“Life is not what it’s supposed to be. Its what it is. The way you cope with it is what makes the difference.” Virginia Satir (1916-1988)

 

Note that the video has extensive extra content (and context!). Also, the video falls behind the audio, so you may prefer to just listen while you scroll down and read along.

 



Humanity is in the midst of immense changes. What immense changes am I thinking of? I think of the long-term advancement of technology from boats to cars and planes as well as from the telegraph to radio and satellite to the internet. However, we are also in the midst of sudden short-term change, like the destabilizing of global lending markets and even vast changes in the governing organizations that define and enforce property rights (AKA “legal” ownership). When those governing operations of organized violence clash with each other or simply dissolve, people may be reminded quickly of appreciating what they may have been taking for granted.

 

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New patterns of behavior are emerging quickly, including a return to certain patterns that some people may have discounted as obsolete. New questions are being asked and explored, and that learning involves new information which informs new models.

 

There is also a huge shift in demographics worldwide. The wealth of the retiring generation of baby boomers of the industrialized nations is quickly being distributed more widely to the relatively poor and young populations of developing nations, especially in Asia, including many Muslims.

 

This is called a crisis by mainstream news and politicians, as the huge imbalance in price of real estate and businesses (stocks) in the industrialized world drop toward the average prices in the majority of the world. The disproportionate affluence of certain nations is diminishing rapidly, as 20% of the world’s population may no longer easily access 80% of the oil, as in prior decades. In particular, the disproportionate affluence of certain populations of relatively unproductive elderly people is subject to distribute more evenly to the vigorous, virile, and increasingly well-educated masses of the developing world.

 

As the technological infrastructures of the West are increasingly available worldwide, the regions of economic growth are rapidly shifting. The idea that consumption and debt equate to wealth is being challenged by the possibility that consumption and debt may actually diminish wealth.

 

Now, old patterns of investing and even old patterns of organizing one’s finances may be suddenly less popular. A decline in popularity correlates to a decline in demand and a decline in price.

 

So, it’s not that suburban retirees value their homes much less than they did years ago, but that the rest of the world is increasingly less attracted to those suburban homes. Price is a function not just of the owner’s values, but the of the entire marketplace of buyers and sellers. Further, as socialism and communism advance in many nations, the enforcement by governing operations of private property regulations is subject to shift to increasingly aggressive acquisitions of that same property by those governing operations, whether through taxes or otherwise.

 

US Treasury Building

US Treasury Building (Photo credit: Scorpions and Centaurs)

 

As certain government programs destabilize, if not the governments themselves, investors can flee to perceived safety. To date, that has been great for the US Treasury but not so good for Greece or Spain (or New Jersey). When governments have been selectively favoring a particular market with tax privileges or direct subsidies and guarantees, such as real estate in the US, an interruption of that favoritism can be financially disastrous to the baby boomers who have been disproportionately benefiting from those interventions and protections.

 

Those who have the curiosity and courage to face these obvious developments can be responsible for adapting to them prudently. Whenever something changes, some people may benefit more than others from that change. If you are interested in exploring practical personal adjustments that you can make to be among those who receive the benefits of the vast emerging changes, I request that you contact me immediately.

 

In early 2003, J.R. began publishing warnings about an emerging global credit crisis and an eventual sharp decline in US Real Estate. In 2004 and 2005, he focused his publications on the future of rising oil prices, also pinpointing the top of the stock prices of the US Housing Sector (which has since fallen nearly 70%). In 2006, he produced triple-digit gains gains by trading the waves of metals. In 2007, he re-emphasized his warnings about US Real Estate, reporting the 15% decline in Phoenix, AZ median list prices (which were down 37% as of 9/2008 and kept falling). Throughout 2008, he issued warnings about the predictable consequences of the retiring of the first wave of the baby boom, including a final spike in prices of metals and oil, and the sequence of events that could follow that, including certain political “antics.” In early 2009, he forecast a “multi-month” rebound in US stocks and most global stocks, which, as of early 2010, has completed.

 

 

 

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2 Responses to “change equals opportunity”

  1. public speaking fear Says:

    I’m still learning from you, but I’m improving myself. I definitely liked reading all that is posted on your site.Keep the posts coming. I enjoyed it!

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